Data and Research

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V-shaped: 20 months; U-shaped: 3 years; L shaped: 8 years
Industry Commentary

US Airline Industry - Recovery Scenarios

Despite passage of the CARES Act, the fallout from COVID-19 continues.  There are 270 million Americans living under ‘stay at home’ orders, and 22 million people have filed unemployment claims in the last four weeks.  Airline demand is roughly 5% of normal, schedules have been dramatically curtailed, and thousands of aircraft have been grounded...
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Industry Commentary

Fallout From COVID-19: Potential Impact to US Airlines and Employees

The news regarding the efforts to stop the spread of the coronavirus as well as its wider ranging impacts on healthcare and the economy is constantly expanding.  This paper is meant to present a rough snapshot of the whirlwind of changing state-of-affairs that are rapidly developing over the past week, with particular focus on the airline industry...
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Pilot Shortage Podcast

Financial Consequences for Airlines – Listen to the Latest Pilot Shortage Podcast

With demand outpacing supply, the US airline industry is facing financial headwinds from rising pilot costs and labor-related growth constraints.  How high will costs rise, who will win, and who will lose?  Listen to a Wall Street analyst, an aircraft manufacturer, and a labor economist discuss the implications of this problem.  While major US...
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A Man-Made Disaster: Pilot Shortage Review of 2016, Predictions for 2017

When the history of the pilot shortage is finally written, 2016 will be recorded as a pivotal year when opportunities to address the problem were squandered, more time was wasted, and the consequences and impacts of the pilot shortage became readily visible.  The year will be remembered as the tipping point where a shortage of flight crews hit the...
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Aviator Inventory Survey

February 2017 Aviator Inventory Survey

What Is the Aviator Inventory Survey? The Aviator Inventory Survey (AIS) is a twice-yearly sampling of over 200,000 licensed pilots in the United States. Developed by Flightpath Economics to inform the US aviation industry, the survey data contain a wealth of current and vital information to help airlines recruit and retain professional pilots....
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Industry Commentary

Grounded: The Devastating Impact of the Pilot Supply Crisis

A growing shortage of qualified airline pilots is forcing the US airline industry to shrink, with debilitating economic consequences for smaller cities and towns. The negative economic impact may equal that of 9/11.
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